旋转的爱

台风“白海豚”已移出浙江，进入江西上饶！未来三天浙江暴雨、大暴雨“车轮战”，还要下一周_我的网站

永不磨灭的番号

一 | 台风“白海豚”8月10日13时，中心已移出浙江！今年第13号台风“白海豚”（热带风暴级），今天（10日）13时中心位于江西省上饶市广丰区境内，就是北纬28.4度、东经118.4度，8级（20米/秒），990百帕。预计“白海豚”将以每小时10—15公里的速度向西北方向移动，强度变化不大。 NEW YORK -- Americans showed their steadfast resilience and kept spending online, at restaurants and other outlets in September even as they grappled with higher prices, rising interest rates and a host of other headwinds piling up.Retail sales rose 0.7% in September, more than twice what economists had expected, and close to a revised 0.8% bump in August, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Retail sales in August were inflated after gasoline prices spiked, however. That was not the case in September when gas prices rose more slowly.A closely watched category of retail sales that excludes auto dealers, gas stations and building materials and feeds into the gross domestic product jumped 0.6% last month compared to the prior month.Tuesday's sales figures aren't adjusted for inflation, but the cost of goods barely rose last month, so the increased spending isn't a reflection of higher prices. Prices for durable goods, such as those sold by appliance and electronics stores, actually fell last month.The government’s monthly retail sales report offers only a partial look at consumer spending; it doesn’t include many services, including health care, travel and hotel lodging. But it does cover spending at restaurants, which had a solid 0.9% increase. Spending online rose 1.1% last month, according to the report. Sales at general merchandise stores rose 0.4%. Sales at home furnishings and furniture stores were flat, while electronics stores and outlets that sell building materials saw declines reflecting a difficult housing market. The retail sales report, which reflects the sixth consecutive monthly gain, reinforces the fact that American consumers, as a whole, are showing no signs of pulling back on their spending, which powers most of the economy. That spending comes despite attempts by the Federal Reserve to cool spending and hiring. That's good news heading into the critical holiday shopping season. But the robust sales report also means that the Fed officials could leave the door open for additional rate hikes. That means that shoppers could face higher interest rates for awhile.“If the cost-of-living crisis has hit consumer confidence, you wouldn’t know it judging by a second month of strong retail sales with the consumer buying everything that wasn’t nailed down,” said Christopher S. Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS LLC, a financial markets research company. “Fed officials have another rate hike this year up on their forecast board, and they will need to use it, if the economic data continues to surprise economists on the upside.” Still, questions remain whether shoppers will finally buckle under more bad news piling up from federal budget wrangling, the resumption of student loan repayments, and new global tensions tied to the Oct. 7 surprise attack by Hamas in Israel. The moratorium on student loan payments lifted Oct. 1. Analysts say that shoppers could also become rattled if the Israel-Hamas war is not contained.Moreover, the relentless spending by shoppers also comes at a cost to their household finances.“We have repeatedly under-estimated the U.S. consumer, “ said Tim Quinlan, a senior economist at Wells Fargo Economics. ”But in pulling off this spending spree, consumers have dented their household finances, a theme that is evident not only in the diminished savings, but also the trend rise in credit card delinquencies.”Healthy consumer spending is expected to lift the economy's growth rate to about 3.5% or possibly even higher in the July-September quarter. September's strong sales also suggests the economy may not slow as much in the final three months of the year as previously expected, analysts said. The retail sales report came as businesses across the U.S. economy ramped up hiring in September, defying surging interest rates, and the ongoing threat of a government shutdown. The strength of hiring has surprised economists inside and outside of the Fed. Consumer prices rose 0.4% from August to September, below the previous month’s 0.6% pace. The report from the Labor Department also showed that year-over-year inflation was flat last month from a 3.7% rise in August.Meanwhile, retailers are pulling out discounts and other incentives to get shoppers to open their wallets for the holiday season as they worry about shoppers' finances. Best Buy, the nation's largest consumer electronics retailer, unveiled a new experience that gives shoppers a chance to access some of the biggest deals and cool gadgets of the holiday season. The items, which kicked off late last month, are only available in limited quantities and exclusively through the Best Buy app. ——————AP Economics Writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this report from Washington.——————Follow Anne D’Innocenzio: http://twitter.com/ADInnocenzio。今明后三天：暴雨大暴雨“车轮战”今天：降雨最强的一天。浙北和沿海地区大部有大雨暴雨，局部大暴雨。其他地区中到大雨，局部暴雨。全省雨量都不小，出门一定注意安全。明天：强降雨核心区略有收缩，但仍“咬”住浙北北部不放！继续部分中到大雨，局部暴雨，个别大暴雨。其他地区局部大雨，雨势虽比今天有所减弱。但还是不能放松警惕。

二 | 后天浙北和沿海地区仍有阵雨雷雨，局部大雨。其他地区部分有阵雨。气温方面，高温彻底“熄火”，凉意明显。

三 | 今天白天全省大部最高气温27~29℃，明天最高在30℃上下，早晚甚至有点凉。怕冷的朋友，备件薄外套。预计“白海豚”残涡和西风槽“接力”，浙江这雨还得下一周。

四 | 13日-15日，“白海豚”残涡和西风槽联手，全省大部地区仍维持阵雨雷雨天气，尤其是14日-15日，部分地区雨势还会再次增强至中到大雨。

五 | 16日-19日，受海上偏东气流影响，阵雨或雷雨依然频繁登场。

六 | 一句话总结：未来一周，雨伞是出门标配，早晨出门备件薄外套。重点提醒：严防地质灾害和小流域山洪这次台风降雨持续时间长、累计雨量大，尤其是浙北和沿海地区，土壤含水量已经高度饱和。山区要特别警惕小流域山洪、山体滑坡和泥石流等次生灾害，住在山坡、溪河边、山洪沟口附近的居民，一定要多留意周边情况，必要时配合转移。

七 | 虽然“白海豚”的强度已减弱为热带风暴，但强降雨影响才刚刚开始。据中国天气网介绍，“白海豚”登陆后还将继续深入内陆并北上，在河北、河南一带还将与冷空气结合，导致降雨时间长、累计雨量大，局地最大累计雨量跟登陆点差不多，降雨具有极端性，个别地点累计雨量可能超过登陆点。中央气象台预计，未来三天，随着“白海豚”深入内陆，浙江、上海、江苏、安徽、湖北、河南、河北等地将有持续性大范围强降雨，局地有特大暴雨，部分地区并伴有短时强降水、雷暴大风等强对流天气。13日后，随着台风残余系统北上与冷空气结合，京津冀、辽宁等地还将有明显降雨。